Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-26 0.043488 0.050691 0.058704 0.068281 0.079417 0.091958 0.107161
2025-11-02 0.033045 0.042655 0.054467 0.070051 0.090082 0.114981 0.148319
2025-11-09 0.025266 0.035314 0.048658 0.067677 0.094108 0.129583 0.180904
2025-11-16 0.020743 0.030960 0.045425 0.067395 0.099960 0.146521 0.218324
2025-11-23 0.017387 0.027465 0.042543 0.066739 0.104654 0.161906 0.255198
2025-11-30 0.015276 0.025379 0.041256 0.068013 0.112065 0.181890 0.301389
2025-12-07 0.013200 0.022962 0.039004 0.067271 0.115950 0.196595 0.340908
2025-12-14 0.011326 0.020558 0.036367 0.065397 0.117512 0.207441 0.375142
2025-12-21 0.009788 0.018485 0.033965 0.063504 0.118634 0.217456 0.408971
2025-12-28 0.008952 0.017550 0.033416 0.064809 0.125576 0.238466 0.465305
2026-01-04 0.008108 0.016467 0.032433 0.065123 0.130631 0.256522 0.518308
2026-01-11 0.007356 0.015453 0.031432 0.065236 0.135245 0.274200 0.572744
2026-01-18 0.006764 0.014694 0.030864 0.066205 0.141838 0.296858 0.640931
2026-01-25 0.006328 0.014203 0.030777 0.068165 0.150770 0.325442 0.725572
2026-02-01 0.005577 0.012919 0.028852 0.065912 0.150355 0.334384 0.769028
2026-02-08 0.005080 0.012132 0.027894 0.065651 0.154278 0.353116 0.836760
2026-02-15 0.004615 0.011350 0.026839 0.065016 0.157236 0.370026 0.902535
2026-02-22 0.004327 0.010949 0.026601 0.066257 0.164742 0.398225 0.998776
2026-03-01 0.003946 0.010266 0.025608 0.065534 0.167396 0.415325 1.070280
2026-03-08 0.003545 0.009474 0.024248 0.063708 0.167058 0.425136 1.124840
2026-03-15 0.003188 0.008745 0.022950 0.061865 0.166420 0.434105 1.178443
2026-03-22 0.003019 0.008497 0.022845 0.063136 0.174104 0.465169 1.294637
2026-03-29 0.002821 0.008137 0.022404 0.063442 0.179241 0.490245 1.398058